Evaluations and programme plan
Evaluations MARE have been evaluated two times during the programmes lifetime. One evaluation was done 2002. This included both a scientific evaluation and a user evaluation. At the end of MARE there will be a new scientific evaluation. The evaluation is scheduled 26-28 Mars, 2007.
Evaluation 2002
In May
2002, two major assassments were made of the MARE research programme
for the purpose of evaluating the results of the first three years
of activity (20002002), i.e., the first programme phase.The
scientific quality of the programme was assessed, as was the potential
utility of its results to society at large once the programme has
come to an end.However, the second phase of the programme is not intended
only as a continuation of phase 1.One important aspect of the assessment(s)
is summarize lessons learned and maybe, as a result of that, partly
restructure the programme for the second and final phase 2.
The
scientific assessment of the MARE programme was conducted by an
international expert review panel, with a Swedish chairman, whereas
the utility assessment was made by a consulting company. Both groups
were appointed by the Swedish Foundation for Strategic Environmental
Research (MISTRA).
The
result of the utility assessment was most encouraging. As far as
the scientific assessments was concerned, the material submitted
to the review panel was, however, considered not altogether satisfactory.
Consequently, the programme management was requested to further
elaborate and complement the material on which a second assessment
could be based.
The
material initially submitted comprised, inter alia, the programme
plan for the year 2000 (the last year of phase 1), the proposed
programme plan for the second programme phase, and the first version
of a synthesis report of phase 1.
The
scientific re-assessment was carried out on in November 2002, and
the review panel arrived at the conclusion that a continuation of
the MARE programme could be recommended. In its report, the panel
emphasized that "MARE should be congratulated for attempting
to integrate their respective disciplines into a tool with the purpose
of aiding decision makers to use scientific knowledge as a base
for designing abatement strategies". The panel also pointed
out that "MARE must incorporate potential users (including
potential non-Swedish users" of the proprosed decision support
system at all levels of the project from the very beginning of phase
2".
On
the basis of the outcome of both assessments, the MISTRA Board decided
in December 2002 that the MARE programme, as proposed, will be continued
for another four years (20032006, phase 2). However, the proposed
programme plan was in some parts be complemented (see programme
plan 4).
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Scientific evaluation 2007
The scientific evaluation will be conducted by an international expert review panel, with a Swedish chairman, appointed by the Swedish Foundation for Strategic Environmental Research (MISTRA). The material submitted to the review panel are:
About MARE and Baltic Nest (4) |
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Johansson, S., Bonsdorff, E. and Wulff, F. ( 2007 in press). The MARE Research Program 1999-2006 - Reflections on program management. Ambio, 36 (2).
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Savchuk, O. P. and Wulff, F. ( 2007 in press). Modeling the Baltic Sea eutrophication in a decision support system. Ambio, 36 (2)
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Wulff, F., Bonsdorff, E., Gren, I-M., Johansson, S. and Stigebrandt, A. (2001). Giving advice on cost effective measures for a cleaner Baltic Sea : a challenge to science. Ambio, vol 30, No 4-5, sid. 245-259
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Wulff, F., Humborg, C., Mörth, M., Savchuk, O. and Sokolov, A. ( 2007 in press). Management options and effects on a marine ecosystem: Assessing the future of the Baltic. Ambio, 36(2)
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Drainage basin model (2) |
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Humborg, C., Danielsson, Å., Sjöberg, B., and Green, M. (2003). Nutrient land-sea fluxes in oligotrophic and pristine estuaries of the Gulf of Bothnia, Baltic Sea. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science 56, 781–793.
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Mörth, C-M., Humborg, C., Eriksson, H., Danielsson, Å., Rodriguez Medina, M., Löfgren. S., Swaney, D.P. and Rahm, L. ( 2007 in press). Modeling riverine nutrient transport to the Baltic Sea – a large-scale approach. Ambio 36 (2).
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Marine model (4) |
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Pitkänen, H., Kiirikki, M., Räike, A., Savchuk, O. and Wulff. F. ( 2007 in press). Searching efficient protection strategies for the eutrophied Gulf of Finland : The combined use of 1 D and 3 D modelling in assessing long term state scenarios with high spatial resolution. Ambio, 36(2).
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Savchuk, O. P. (2005). Resolving the Baltic Sea into seven subbasins: N and P budgets for 1991-1999. Journal of Marine Systems. 56 (1-2): 1-15.
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Savchuk, O. and Wulff, F. (1999). Modelling regional and large-scale responses of the Baltic Sea ecosystems to nutrient reductions. Hydrobiologica 393: 35-43
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Stigebrandt, A. and Gustafsson, B. G. (2003). Response of the Baltic Sea to climate change – theory and observations. Journal of Sea Research 49, 243–256.
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Ecology (5) |
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Kahru, M., Savchuk, O. and Elmgren, R ( 2007 in press). Satellite measurements of cyanobacterial bloom frequency in the Baltic Sea : Interannual and spatial variability . Mar. Prog Ser.
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Karlson, K., Bonsdorff, E. and Rosenberg, R. ( 2007 in press). The impact of benthic marcrofauna for nutrient fluxes from Baltic Sea sediments. Ambio 36 (2)
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Rönnberg, C. and Bonsdorff, E. (2004). Baltic Sea eutrophication: area-specific ecological consequences. Hydrobiologia 514, 227-241.
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Vahtera, E., Conley, D., Gustafsson, B., Kuosa, H., Pitkänen, H., Savchuck, O. P., Tamminen, T., Wasmund, N, Viitasalo, M., Voss, M and Wulff, F. ( 2007 in press). Internal ecosystem feedbacks enhance nitrogen-fixing cyanobacteria blooms and complicate management in the Baltic Sea . Ambio, 36 (2)
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Fish model (5) |
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Essington, E. and Hansson, S. (2004). Predator-dependent functional responses and interaction strengths in a natural food web . Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 61: 2215-2226.
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MacKenzie, B., Almesjö, L. and Hansson, S. (2004). Fish, fishing, and pollutant reduction in the Baltic Sea . Environmental Science and Technology 38, 1970-1976.
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MacKenzie, B., Almesjö, L. and Hansson S. (2004). Can cod help to clean up the Baltic Sea ? ICES Newsletter No 41.
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Hansson, S., Hjerne, O., Harvey. C., Kitchell, J.F., Cox, S.P. and Essington, T.E. ( 2007 in press). Managing Baltic Sea fisheries under contrasting production and predation regimes – ecosystem model analyses. Ambio, 36 (2).
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Hjerne, O. and Hansson, S. (2002) The role of fish and fisheries in Baltic Sea nutrient dynamics. Limnology and Oceanography 47(4) 1023-1032.
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Economy (2) |
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Gren, I-M and Wulff, F. (2004). Cost effective nutrient reductions to coupled heterogeneous marine water basins: An application to the Baltic Sea . Regional Environmental Change, 4: 159-168.
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Schou, J.S., Neye, S.T., Lundhede, T., Martinsen, L. and Hasler, B. (2006). Cost-efficient Reductions of Nutrient Loads to the Baltic Sea . Concept for the Cost Minimisation Model, Database Links and Cost Estimates. National Environmental Research institute, Denmark . xx pp. – NERI. Technical Report no 592.
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Programme plans
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